The 2020 NFL season is 36% complete if you can believe that. So far, underdogs are 49-42 against the spread (ATS), and road underdogs are 35-27 ATS. If you throw in the fact that home teams are 47-43-1, it lends even more to the argument that home-field advantage plays little effect in the COVID-19 era of the NFL, with limited fans in the stadium. Each week, we go over our best bets ATS in the NFL. With the entire week 7 card to look at, these are the bets that we see having the highest probability to pay off.

All numbers provided by FanDuel Sportsbook.

Carolina Panthers (3-3) at New Orleans Saints (3-2)

Current Line: NO -7, CAR +7

Total: 50.5

At +7, this one is not as good as it was when the Panthers were getting +7.5. But with the recent news of the absence of both Emmanuel Sanders and Michael Thomas, we still feel like Carolina should cover this spread. This will be a bounce-back game for QB Teddy Bridgewater after his worst start of the year against the Bears last week. The Saints defense is giving up 30 points per game, and their secondary has been getting torched this season by opposing offenses. This will be a one-possession divisional game in the bayou, and we wouldn’t be surprised if Matt Rhule and his team come out with a victory. Get this number now, as the recent news for New Orleans will drive the number further in Carolina’s favor.

PICK

Carolina +7

Seattle Seahawks (5-0) at Arizona Cardinals (4-2)

Current Line: SEA -3, ARI +3

Total: 55.5

This line has come down to 3, which even further helps our bet here. We wouldn’t expect that to stay, the line will probably go back up to 3.5, so jump on this now. In this matchup, you are getting the undefeated Seahawks and Russell Wilson off a bye with extra rest. Arizona meanwhile, will be coming off a short week. We didn’t love what we saw from the Cardinals against the Dallas Cowboys, with QB Kyler Murray completing less than 10 passes and overthrowing multiple receivers. WR DeAndre Hopkins didn’t practice all week, so he is questionable to play in this one.

Seattle’s defense is atrocious, but we just aren’t buying into what Arizona is selling right now. The Cardinals have gone under the total in all of their games this season despite playing at a faster pace. Give us the Seahawks here -3, a number that should be higher.

PICK

Seattle -3

Pittsburgh Steelers (5-0) at Tennessee Titans (5-0)

Current Line: TEN -1, PIT +1

Total: 50.5

We love Pittsburgh in this one. We’re going to figure out though if the Titans are real. The Steelers have a well-balanced football team, with both the offense and defense ranked 4th and 2nd respectively on the year. The loss of LB Devin Bush is concerning, and we’ll have to see if it has any effect on the Steeler’s defense when it comes to stopping Titan’s RB Derrick Henry. Pittsburgh should be able to do enough to keep Henry in check with their strong front seven, and the offense should have no problem scoring on the Titan’s highly suspect defense.