Thursday, December 26, 2024

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Saints Are BIG Favorites On Christmas Day Against The Vikings

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Last week was a pretty successful week for us here on the site. We gave you a big winner in the Chargers on Thursday Night Football, as they won outright against the Las Vegas Raiders. This week, we get a game on a Friday, which completes the gauntlet of NFL games on each day of the week. There has been an NFL game on every day of the week for the first time in history this year, which just goes to show you how wacky 2020 has actually been. We also don’t usually get a game on Christmas Day, so now you will have a choice between the NFL and NBA to make your Christmas that much merrier. The Minnesota Vikings travel to the Superdome in New Orleans for a battle in the bayou against the Saints. Minnesota will be desperate for a win to keep their slim playoff hopes alive after allowing 397 yards in a critical loss to the Chicago Bears. David Montgomery rushed for 146 yards and 2 TDs, annihilating the Vikings on the ground. On the other side, Drew Brees’ return to action from a punctured lung and 17 broken ribs started slowly against the Kansas City Chiefs. He failed to complete a pass for the entire first quarter but finished up with 234 yards and 3 TDs in a 32-29 loss. But hey, he covered the spread! Even without several key members of the receiving corp, including Michael Thomas, Brees shouldn’t have any problems ripping the Vikings’ 24th ranked pass defense. New Orleans also has the 4th ranked rush defense, which doesn’t bode well for a Minnesota team that heavily relies on Dalvin Cook. Cook is the NFL’s second-leading rusher and has the second-most TDs in the league with 15. Scoring will be hard to come by for him on a Saints defense that has allowed just eight rushing TDs on the season. DraftKings wants you to take advantage of these early lines by offering you a great deal this week.

Minnesota Vikings (6-8) at New Orleans Saints (10-4)

Spread: NO -7, MIN +7

The Saints are laying 7 points on Christmas against the Vikings at the Superdome. The Vikings have covered the spread in four of their last five games, and I feel like they have a good chance to here as well. Although, I would need that hook at +7.5 with Minnesota. I think that despite the Saints having a great rush defense, Cook should be able to get his in this game. Historically speaking, Mike Zimmer owns Sean Payton and the Saints, having defeated them twice in the playoffs over the last 3 years and 3 out of the last 5 times overall. For some reason, Zimmer just knows how to beat this team. The Saints are clearly more talented and better overall, which is why this number is so high. They are also coming off of two straight losses, which should probably light a fire under their bellies when you combine it with the past two playoff losses.

Total: 51.5

Any game that is played in the Superdome always has a great chance to go over, and with a team in Minnesota that has an absolutely atrocious defense, the total makes sense here. However, I get the feeling that Minnesota and New Orleans will be running the ball quite a bit in this game. The Vikings will clearly be relying on Cook as they usually do, but I think the Saints also will be trying to run quite a bit. They want to take the pressure off Brees, who I believe still isn’t fully healthy. That plays into a ton of short passes to Alvin Kamara, and also a ton of rushes by him as well. When you have two teams that want to run a lot, that equals an under.

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