Welcome back to the Wagersphere folks. The NFL is already in Week 14, and it’s hard to believe that we are in the closing weeks of a very extraordinary season. This year, we have seen many different storylines and underdogs that cover the spread. Home field advantage doesn’t have much of an effect on games anymore since fans aren’t in the stands. People usually arent happy with me when I pick the majority of underdogs every single week because they think that they will lose. This is obviously incorrect because if you follow me, you have won plenty of cash.

This week, however, I like several favorites on the board that I think can cover the spread against their opponent. Some teams are getting a lot of credit because of either a winning streak or a great performance last week, and you can take advantage of these numbers by getting the best of them before they arise because of the public. DraftKings is also going to help you by offering up to $1,000 in a sign-up bonus. Take advantage today and make it rain.

Week 14 Best Bets/Previews

Green Bay Packers (9-3) at Detroit Lions (5-7)

Spread: GB -7.5, DET +7.5

Total: 55

Detroit is getting a lot of credit here because of the game against Chicago last week. Detroit wins the game outright and people think “new coach, a big offensive performance, team has turned a corner.” The Lions have one of the worst defenses in the league, that’s how badly they have been performing. They allowed 30 points to Mitch Trubisky and THAT offense, and are missing a ton of different defensive players. When you allow 30 to Mitch Trubisky in a rainstorm, you know what’s going to happen in this game? I have no idea how the Packers aren’t going to score a TD on every single drive and every time they touch the ball, in ideal scoring conditions in a dome atmosphere, against this defense. People are overrating the Lions defense, and I think that’s why this spread isn’t higher. With no Kenny Golladay this season, it hasn’t looked very pretty for the Lions offensively either. They have had a fairly easy schedule as of late and against elite competition like Green Bay, I think that shows up even more.

Offical Play: GB -7.5

Tennessee Titans (8-4) at Jacksonville Jaguars (1-11)

Spread: TENN -7.5, JAX +7.5

Total: 52.5

This is a rematch of the Week 2 shootout between two AFC South rivals. You have a different QB in Jacksonville, and whether you think Mike Glennon is better or worse than Gardner Minshew is pretty irrelevant here. About half of the Jaguar’s defense that played in that game and gave up 33 points is not playing in this game. The expectation should be that Tennessee scores every time they touch the ball, similar to the game mentioned above. I think that Jacksonville can score as well on this terrible Titans defense, but I think this game should be lined more around TEN -10. I think you are getting a numbers advantage here because of how good the Jags have looked the past few weeks hanging with their opponents. I don’t think that happens here. I think this is a great teaser play, by taking Tennessee down to -1.5 and Green Bay down to -1.5, I think you win every time.

Official Play: TENN -7.5

Kansas City Chiefs (11-1) at Miami Dolphins (8-4)

Spread: KC -7.5, MIA +7.5

Total: 50.5

Another game that I like where I’m picking a large road favorite, which I don’t typically do. I’ve explained my reasons above and ill explain them here as well. When Miami had the ball against Cincinnati, one of the worst defenses in the league and maybe one of the worst defenses in the last five years, they were unable to really put up anything for 2 1/2 quarters. Their red-zone production was abysmal. What are they going to do when they are down 10-17 points in this game? It would be such an unfamiliar situation for them because in so many of Miami’s games this year they have gotten to operate with a lead against bad opposition. The defense puts up a couple of TDs for you and the throws get a lot easier to make. The gameplan has been very simplistic and you could win anyway, and that is almost impossible that exists in this game. It will be different than what anything Tua has seen this year. This is such a big step up in class for Miami, and I’m not sure they are quite ready for it. The only other opponent they beat recently that was any good was the Rams, and their defense and special teams won that game by forcing turnovers. Patrick Mahomes won’t be so kind to them. This is another game that could operate as a teaser, bringing KC down to -1.5.

Offical Play: KC -7.5

Atlanta Falcons (4-8) at Los Angeles Chargers (3-9)

Spread: ATL -2, LAC +2

Total: 49

Julio Jones has been ruled out for this game, and yet the Falcons remain 2 point favorites in the game on the road. I just don’t understand that at all. These are two teams that you would want every point that you could possibly get at the end of a game because when either of them has the lead, the other becomes a favorite to win with how poorly these two play in the 4th quarter. Getting points in a game like this is everything because it’s basically a contest on who can screw up last. Teasing the Chargers up to 8 is an amazing bet because as we have said many times, Anthony Lynn plays almost 100% of his games to one score, with the exception of last week. Luckily, they are not facing Bill Belichick but rather Raheem Morris, so a one-possession game is almost a certainty. I think the wrong team is favored here. The Falcons have no business without Julio being a favorite on the road to anybody, let alone a team that has talent like LA. Call me crazy, but I think Anthony Lynn wins outright.

Official Play: LAC +2, ML

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