Welcome back to the Wagersphere folks. I know what you’re thinking about when reading this article. And you’re right. You’re also right about that other QB in Kansas City. By now, though, both of us are tired of hearing about it. What’s done is done, and this is where we are now. So we’ll skip that entire pointless discussion and talk about the game. The Houston Texans travel to the Windy City to take on the Chicago Bears in an early game Sunday that most people will be ignoring. It’s a battle between two teams that are well out of the picture for any championship, and one that will have career repercussions on the coaches and the GM of Chicago. Should the Bears lose a SEVENTH straight contest, it will be a historic collapse and failure by a once-proud organization. The Texans are coming off a loss to their division rival Indianapolis Colts 26-20, in which they kept it close until a critical fumble by QB Deshaun Watson by the goal line. The Bears, meanwhile, failed in every way imaginable last week at Soldier Field, losing to the Detroit Lions 34-30 in hilarious fashion. They lost to a team that had just fired their head coach and GM, was without their star wide receiver and running back, and without their top 2 corners. Sad. Luckily, DraftKings is here to help you soak up those tears in money, with a fantastic deal to wager on this game.
Houston Texans (4-8) at Chicago Bears (5-7)
Spread: HOU -1.5, CHI +1.5
Total: 45.5
Let’s once again be brutally honest. Neither of these teams is particularly good. Texans QB Deshaun Watson is by FAR the best player that will play in this game, and there is a part of me that wants to take the best player on the field in a pick’em game. I really don’t have any bet on the side right now, but I might end up with a bet on Houston come Sunday. These are two organizations that have had very rough years, especially if you have read into any reports in the last few days. With what’s going on in Houston and the changes we expect here in Chicago, it has been a terrible year for both clubs. The number doesn’t seem far off in this game, and I’m not sure you can make a number far off enough when the two QBs are Mitch Trubisky and Watson.
The total to me is just off in this game, and it’s something I would attack. The Texans can score, and that’s about the only thing that they can do. Even when Houston has a lead, they tend to hyper-aggressively pass the football anyway because they can’t get anything going on the ground. The Bears defense is playing uninspired football right now, surrendering almost 300 passing yards per game over their last three. Watson should rip them to pieces, as he is second in the NFL in passing yards. On the Bears side, their offense seems to have actually found something where the defense lost it. For two weeks in a row, the Bears were able to score over 25 points and gash opponents on the ground. This will probably be the formula for the rest of the season until their suffering ends in just 4 short weeks.
Prediction: Lean HOU -1.5, O45.5
Player Props To Consider
As of this writing, prop numbers have not been released yet. These are players I am targeting.
Allen Robinson OVERS – The Texans’ best CB, Bradley Roby, is suspended for the season due to PED use. Who is going to cover Robinson? Answer: Nobody.
David Montgomery OVERS – Montgomery has shown recently that he can play well when he actually gets blocking and carries. He was outstanding against the Packers and Lions and now will face the atrocious Houston run defense, one of the worst in the NFL.
Cole Kmet OVERS – The rookie TE out of Notre Dame, has clearly started to see more reps and get the majority of snaps over the last few weeks. He had 7 targets last week against Detriot and 5 catches. Jimmy Graham is the walking dead at this stage in his career, and if Kmet is going to keep seeing this volume, I’ll be highly interested in his receptions overs.
Keke Coutee OVERS – Buster Skrine would usually be the guy covering Coutee in the slot, but he will be out for this game. Skrine is terrible as the starter, so I would imagine whoever the Bears replace him with will be even worse.
Brandin Cooks OVERS – The Bears have been getting DESTROYED deep down the field in the last two games. Guys named Big Bob Tony on and Quintez Cephus have ripped the Bears for huge gains, so imagine what a guy with Cooks speed will do to them with Watson throwing him the ball.
Most Bet Week 14 Games
DraftKings provides us insider data regarding upcoming games. Here are the most bet Week 14 games. They are divided into two categories. The “most bet by the handle” refers to the game with the total money bet on it. For example, if I bet $100 on the Chiefs and you bet $100 on the Dolphins, the handle would be $200. The “most bet by bets” refers to the games with the total bets made. Using the example above, the total bets would be 2. It is beneficial to see where most players are putting their money, whether you decide to go with them or against them.
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