Thursday, April 25, 2024

Want An Elite Bears Defense? Here’s How Far Away They Are

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It’s no secret that Bears fans want a great defense in Chicago again. For one it’s a long-standing tradition in this town but also because it seems to be the only way this franchise knows how to win. Look at the teams in the NFL with a top 10 defense. Four of them are in the playoffs and three others had a record of .500 or better.

This begs the question. Why aren’t the Bears at that level yet? They seem to have the coaching in place, so what’s missing? To help answer that, it was important to look at those units they’re chasing and recognize what’s difference. As it turns out there is a very simple, fundamental gap that is easy to explain.

The majority of the best defenses this season have more first round picks in their lineup.

1st Round Picks on Defense

  • #1 – Houston Texans:  6
  • #2 – Arizona Cardinals:  3
  • #3 – Minnesota Vikings:  3
  • #4 – Denver Broncos:  3
  • #5 – Seattle Seahawks:  1
  • #6 – Jacksonville Jaguars:  3
  • #7 – Baltimore Ravens:  3
  • #8 – New England Patriots:  3
  • #9 – Los Angeles Rams:  4
  • #10 – New York Giants:  3

It’s pretty plain as day. Aside from the Seahawks, who are the exception to the rule, the best defenses in the NFL were all constructed through constant investment of top draft choices. It seems those that have at least three first round picks in the starting lineup tend to field the best units. Sure, coaching has a lot to do with it too but if the Bears want an elite unit they’ll have to “pay” for it.

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Same goes for that celebrated Dallas Cowboys offensive line. It’s no secret why they have success. Three of its members were first round picks.

Ryan Pace and John Fox want their great defense and are getting closer, but so far they have met the prerequisite. Leonard Floyd was the only first round pick who was a starter for them in 2016. Kyle Fuller was on injured reserve all season. Look back at the greatest Bears defenses of the past. They paid the bill. The 2001 unit? Four first round picks. The 1985 unit? Four first round picks. The 1963 unit? Three first round picks. The 1941 unit? Three first round picks.

Pace said it would take at least three off-seasons for him to build this roster the way he wants it. He wasn’t exaggerating when he said that. Great things in the NFL take time. Few of those top defenses listed above were constructed overnight. Most of them took multiple years of careful planning, scouting, coaching and development. It also took a significant talent commitment as well.

If the Bears want their elite defense, they must be willing to set aside top draft choices for its construction. Simple, but just not fast.

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